18.06.2026 01:00Toronto Stadium · Toronto
GhanavsPanama
KYRON Hauptempfehlung

DNB 2 · 2

Modell-Scoreline: PAN 2:1 · Hauptempfehlung: Kein harter Tipp · nur DNB 2 als vorsichtige Variante

8,4 %Scoreline-Wahrscheinlichkeit
0:2Alternativ-Ergebnis
1:1Rein wahrscheinlichste Scoreline
34Reliability
volatileExact-Score-Basis

enger xG-Korridor · Stärkste Signale: FIFA Ranking pro Auswärts · Hauptempfehlung bleibt 1X2/Safe, Exact Score ist Nebeninfo · Safe: DNB 2 · Confidence 44/100 · Risiko high

37 %Sieg GHA
25 %Remis
37 %Sieg PAN
1,39xG Heim
1,39xG Auswärts
21X2 Haupttipp
44Confidence
34Reliability
representative_outcome_scorelineTipp-Strategie
Exact Score ist volatil; als Nebeninfo lesen, nicht als sichere Ergebnisansage.

Plausible Modell-Scorelines

Der exakte Score ist keine sichere Vorhersage. KYRON nutzt ihn nur als Modell-Scoreline; Hauptempfehlung bleiben 1X2, Safe-Tipp und Risiko.

1:1
12,0 %
0:1
8,6 %
1:0
8,6 %
1:2
8,4 %
2:1
8,3 %
0:0
6,2 %
0:2
6,0 %
2:0
6,0 %

Over 2.5 53 % BTTS 56 % Hauptempfehlung: DNB 2 Risiko high

V9 Ensemble- und Daten-Signale

FIFA Ranking
Offizielle FIFA-Punkte als Grundstärke: Differenz -192,28 · FIFA-Rang 73 vs 34
Gewicht 30,2 % Qualität 95 %
KYRON Elo
KYRON-Elo/Turnier-Elo inklusive Gastgeberbonus: Differenz 0,0
Gewicht 22,9 % Qualität 72 %
Form
Kurzfristige Form aus Formwert/FIFA-Punktedelta: Differenz 0,52
Gewicht 17,3 % Qualität 68 %
Attack/Defense
Offensiv-/Defensiv-Matchup: Heimspur 0,000, Auswärtsspur 0,000
Gewicht 29,7 % Qualität 78 %
Market Check
Kein Markt-/Quoten-Snapshot vorhanden; Modellanteil wird für dieses Spiel nicht gewichtet.
Gewicht 0,0 % Qualität 0 %
Modell-Snapshot anzeigen
{"match":{"id":23,"kickoff_at":"2026-06-18 01:00:00","venue":"Toronto Stadium"},"home":{"id":47,"name":"Ghana","short_name":"GHA","elo":"1700.00","kyron_elo":null,"attack_rating":"70.00","defense_rating":"70.00","form_rating":"70.00","rolling_form":null,"fifa_rank":73,"fifa_points":"1346.88","fifa_points_delta":null,"source":"fifa_ranking_2026_06_11","source_date":"2026-06-11","data_quality":"0.95","is_host":0},"away":{"id":48,"name":"Panama","short_name":"PAN","elo":"1700.00","kyron_elo":null,"attack_rating":"70.00","defense_rating":"70.00","form_rating":"70.00","rolling_form":null,"fifa_rank":34,"fifa_points":"1539.16","fifa_points_delta":"-1.48","source":"fifa_ranking_2026_06_11","source_date":"2026-06-11","data_quality":"1.00","is_host":0},"adjustment":null,"settings":{"base_goals":1.350000000000000088817841970012523233890533447265625,"host_factor":0.11999999999999999555910790149937383830547332763671875,"home_advantage":0.08000000000000000166533453693773481063544750213623046875,"weights":{"fifa_ranking":0.301587301587301570560128993747639469802379608154296875,"kyron_elo":0.2285714285714285642914234131239936687052249908447265625,"form":0.1726984126984127121406942251269356347620487213134765625,"attack_defense":0.2971428571428571530077533680014312267303466796875,"market":0}},"v9_mismatch_goal_bonus":{"weighted_edge":-0.12653789544868043748238051193766295909881591796875,"bonus":0},"ensemble":[{"key":"fifa_ranking","label":"FIFA Ranking","weight":0.25,"home_edge":-0.4282972322772036211091517543536610901355743408203125,"home_xg_adjustment":-0.1456210589742492345077806703557143919169902801513671875,"away_xg_adjustment":0.1456210589742492345077806703557143919169902801513671875,"confidence":0.804559999999999941877604214823804795742034912109375,"data_quality":0.9499999999999999555910790149937383830547332763671875,"explanation":"Offizielle FIFA-Punkte als Grundstärke: Differenz -192,28 · FIFA-Rang 73 vs 34","debug":{"home_points":1346.8800000000001091393642127513885498046875,"away_points":1539.160000000000081854523159563541412353515625,"points_diff":-192.279999999999972715158946812152862548828125},"effective_weight":0.301587301587301570560128993747639469802379608154296875},{"key":"kyron_elo","label":"KYRON Elo","weight":0.25,"home_edge":0,"home_xg_adjustment":0,"away_xg_adjustment":-0,"confidence":0.40000000000000002220446049250313080847263336181640625,"data_quality":0.7199999999999999733546474089962430298328399658203125,"explanation":"KYRON-Elo/Turnier-Elo inklusive Gastgeberbonus: Differenz 0,0","debug":{"home_elo":1700,"away_elo":1700,"home_host_bonus":0,"away_host_bonus":0,"elo_diff":0},"effective_weight":0.2285714285714285642914234131239936687052249908447265625},{"key":"form","label":"Form","weight":0.200000000000000011102230246251565404236316680908203125,"home_edge":0.0152352941176470586814861718494285014458000659942626953125,"home_xg_adjustment":0.0033517647058823531354410096838591925916261970996856689453125,"away_xg_adjustment":-0.0033517647058823531354410096838591925916261970996856689453125,"confidence":0.369418181818181812214874071287340484559535980224609375,"data_quality":0.68000000000000004884981308350688777863979339599609375,"explanation":"Kurzfristige Form aus Formwert/FIFA-Punktedelta: Differenz 0,52","debug":{"home_form":70,"away_form":70,"home_delta":0,"away_delta":-1.479999999999999982236431605997495353221893310546875,"form_diff":0.5180000000000000159872115546022541821002960205078125},"effective_weight":0.1726984126984127121406942251269356347620487213134765625},{"key":"attack_defense","label":"Attack/Defense","weight":0.299999999999999988897769753748434595763683319091796875,"home_edge":0,"home_xg_adjustment":0,"away_xg_adjustment":0,"confidence":0.38000000000000000444089209850062616169452667236328125,"data_quality":0.7800000000000000266453525910037569701671600341796875,"explanation":"Offensiv-/Defensiv-Matchup: Heimspur 0,000, Auswärtsspur 0,000","debug":{"home_attack":70,"away_attack":70,"home_defense":70,"away_defense":70,"home_lane":0,"away_lane":0},"effective_weight":0.2971428571428571530077533680014312267303466796875},{"key":"market","label":"Market Check","weight":0,"home_edge":0,"home_xg_adjustment":0,"away_xg_adjustment":0,"confidence":0,"data_quality":0,"explanation":"Kein Markt-/Quoten-Snapshot vorhanden; Modellanteil wird für dieses Spiel nicht gewichtet.","debug":[],"effective_weight":0}],"calibration":{"score":44,"risk":"high","warnings":[],"model_agreement":0.6984126984126983739287197749945335090160369873046875,"separation":0.003037544169955774808755677440785802900791168212890625},"direct_tip":{"score":"1:2","label":"Modell-Scoreline: PAN 2:1 · Hauptempfehlung: Kein harter Tipp · nur DNB 2 als vorsichtige Variante","probability":0.083508079982483274239513093561981804668903350830078125,"strategy":"representative_outcome_scoreline","exact_score_reliability":"volatile","top_5":[{"home_goals":1,"away_goals":1,"probability":0.11986760277294779275525371531330165453255176544189453125},{"home_goals":0,"away_goals":1,"probability":0.0864433121960549166740150894838734529912471771240234375},{"home_goals":1,"away_goals":0,"probability":0.0860290537008340516766935479608946479856967926025390625},{"home_goals":1,"away_goals":2,"probability":0.083508079982483274239513093561981804668903350830078125},{"home_goals":2,"away_goals":1,"probability":0.0831078878719141711517437443035305477678775787353515625}],"reason":"enger xG-Korridor · Stärkste Signale: FIFA Ranking pro Auswärts · Hauptempfehlung bleibt 1X2/Safe, Exact Score ist Nebeninfo · Safe: DNB 2 · Confidence 44/100 · Risiko high"},"rating_policy":"V9 Trust & Integrity: Hauptempfehlung ist 1X2/Safe; exakte Scoreline ist nur eine repräsentative Modell-Scoreline mit klarer Unsicherheitskennzeichnung.","trust_mode":"honest","primary_recommendation":"Kein harter Tipp · nur DNB 2 als vorsichtige Variante","scoreline_note":"Repräsentative Scoreline gewählt, weil mehrere Top-Ergebnisse dicht beieinander liegen. Reine Top-Scoreline wäre 1:1. Torprofil spricht nicht für reinen Minimal-Score. BTTS-Signal ist relevant. 1X2-Ausgang eng, Exact Score besonders vorsichtig lesen.","display_policy":"Exact Score ist nur Modell-Scoreline/Nebeninfo. Hauptempfehlung ist 1X2 bzw. Safe-Tipp."}