19.06.2026 00:00BC Place · Vancouver
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KYRON Hauptempfehlung

DNB 1 · 1

Modell-Scoreline: CAN 2:1 · Hauptempfehlung: Kein harter Tipp · nur DNB 1 als vorsichtige Variante

8,7 %Scoreline-Wahrscheinlichkeit
2:0Alternativ-Ergebnis
1:1Rein wahrscheinlichste Scoreline
38Reliability
volatileExact-Score-Basis

enger xG-Korridor · Stärkste Signale: FIFA Ranking pro Heim · Hauptempfehlung bleibt 1X2/Safe, Exact Score ist Nebeninfo · Safe: DNB 1 · Confidence 48/100 · Risiko high

40 %Sieg CAN
25 %Remis
34 %Sieg QAT
1,46xG Heim
1,32xG Auswärts
11X2 Haupttipp
48Confidence
38Reliability
representative_outcome_scorelineTipp-Strategie
Exact Score ist volatil; als Nebeninfo lesen, nicht als sichere Ergebnisansage.

Plausible Modell-Scorelines

Der exakte Score ist keine sichere Vorhersage. KYRON nutzt ihn nur als Modell-Scoreline; Hauptempfehlung bleiben 1X2, Safe-Tipp und Risiko.

1:1
12,0 %
1:0
9,0 %
2:1
8,7 %
0:1
8,2 %
1:2
7,9 %
2:0
6,6 %
0:0
6,2 %
2:2
5,8 %

Over 2.5 53 % BTTS 56 % Hauptempfehlung: DNB 1 Risiko high

V9 Ensemble- und Daten-Signale

FIFA Ranking
Offizielle FIFA-Punkte als Grundstärke: Differenz 109,17 · FIFA-Rang 30 vs 56
Gewicht 30,2 % Qualität 95 %
KYRON Elo
KYRON-Elo/Turnier-Elo inklusive Gastgeberbonus: Differenz 0,0
Gewicht 22,9 % Qualität 72 %
Form
Kurzfristige Form aus Formwert/FIFA-Punktedelta: Differenz 1,05
Gewicht 17,3 % Qualität 68 %
Attack/Defense
Offensiv-/Defensiv-Matchup: Heimspur 0,000, Auswärtsspur 0,000
Gewicht 29,7 % Qualität 78 %
Market Check
Kein Markt-/Quoten-Snapshot vorhanden; Modellanteil wird für dieses Spiel nicht gewichtet.
Gewicht 0,0 % Qualität 0 %
Modell-Snapshot anzeigen
{"match":{"id":27,"kickoff_at":"2026-06-19 00:00:00","venue":"BC Place"},"home":{"id":5,"name":"Canada","short_name":"CAN","elo":"1700.00","kyron_elo":null,"attack_rating":"70.00","defense_rating":"70.00","form_rating":"70.00","rolling_form":null,"fifa_rank":30,"fifa_points":"1559.48","fifa_points_delta":"3.00","source":"fifa_ranking_2026_06_11","source_date":"2026-06-11","data_quality":"1.00","is_host":0},"away":{"id":7,"name":"Qatar","short_name":"QAT","elo":"1700.00","kyron_elo":null,"attack_rating":"70.00","defense_rating":"70.00","form_rating":"70.00","rolling_form":null,"fifa_rank":56,"fifa_points":"1450.31","fifa_points_delta":null,"source":"fifa_ranking_2026_06_11","source_date":"2026-06-11","data_quality":"0.95","is_host":0},"adjustment":null,"settings":{"base_goals":1.350000000000000088817841970012523233890533447265625,"host_factor":0.11999999999999999555910790149937383830547332763671875,"home_advantage":0.08000000000000000166533453693773481063544750213623046875,"weights":{"fifa_ranking":0.301587301587301570560128993747639469802379608154296875,"kyron_elo":0.2285714285714285642914234131239936687052249908447265625,"form":0.1726984126984127121406942251269356347620487213134765625,"attack_defense":0.2971428571428571530077533680014312267303466796875,"market":0}},"v9_mismatch_goal_bonus":{"weighted_edge":0.08200548754420265706865933452718309126794338226318359375,"bonus":0},"ensemble":[{"key":"fifa_ranking","label":"FIFA Ranking","weight":0.25,"home_edge":0.254228721857093054037335377870476804673671722412109375,"home_xg_adjustment":0.08643776543141164225847461466401000507175922393798828125,"away_xg_adjustment":-0.08643776543141164225847461466401000507175922393798828125,"confidence":0.6383400000000001295319407290662638843059539794921875,"data_quality":0.9499999999999999555910790149937383830547332763671875,"explanation":"Offizielle FIFA-Punkte als Grundstärke: Differenz 109,17 · FIFA-Rang 30 vs 56","debug":{"home_points":1559.48000000000001818989403545856475830078125,"away_points":1450.30999999999994543031789362430572509765625,"points_diff":109.170000000000072759576141834259033203125},"effective_weight":0.301587301587301570560128993747639469802379608154296875},{"key":"kyron_elo","label":"KYRON Elo","weight":0.25,"home_edge":0,"home_xg_adjustment":0,"away_xg_adjustment":-0,"confidence":0.40000000000000002220446049250313080847263336181640625,"data_quality":0.7199999999999999733546474089962430298328399658203125,"explanation":"KYRON-Elo/Turnier-Elo inklusive Gastgeberbonus: Differenz 0,0","debug":{"home_elo":1700,"away_elo":1700,"home_host_bonus":0,"away_host_bonus":0,"elo_diff":0},"effective_weight":0.2285714285714285642914234131239936687052249908447265625},{"key":"form","label":"Form","weight":0.200000000000000011102230246251565404236316680908203125,"home_edge":0.030882352941176464955486125063544022850692272186279296875,"home_xg_adjustment":0.0067941176470588220126511913576905499212443828582763671875,"away_xg_adjustment":-0.0067941176470588220126511913576905499212443828582763671875,"confidence":0.379090909090909089496079786840709857642650604248046875,"data_quality":0.68000000000000004884981308350688777863979339599609375,"explanation":"Kurzfristige Form aus Formwert/FIFA-Punktedelta: Differenz 1,05","debug":{"home_form":70,"away_form":70,"home_delta":3,"away_delta":0,"form_diff":1.04999999999999982236431605997495353221893310546875},"effective_weight":0.1726984126984127121406942251269356347620487213134765625},{"key":"attack_defense","label":"Attack/Defense","weight":0.299999999999999988897769753748434595763683319091796875,"home_edge":0,"home_xg_adjustment":0,"away_xg_adjustment":0,"confidence":0.38000000000000000444089209850062616169452667236328125,"data_quality":0.7800000000000000266453525910037569701671600341796875,"explanation":"Offensiv-/Defensiv-Matchup: Heimspur 0,000, Auswärtsspur 0,000","debug":{"home_attack":70,"away_attack":70,"home_defense":70,"away_defense":70,"home_lane":0,"away_lane":0},"effective_weight":0.2971428571428571530077533680014312267303466796875},{"key":"market","label":"Market Check","weight":0,"home_edge":0,"home_xg_adjustment":0,"away_xg_adjustment":0,"confidence":0,"data_quality":0,"explanation":"Kein Markt-/Quoten-Snapshot vorhanden; Modellanteil wird für dieses Spiel nicht gewichtet.","debug":[],"effective_weight":0}],"calibration":{"score":48,"risk":"high","warnings":[],"model_agreement":0.6984126984126983739287197749945335090160369873046875,"separation":0.06113289234900476376566302860737778246402740478515625},"direct_tip":{"score":"2:1","label":"Modell-Scoreline: CAN 2:1 · Hauptempfehlung: Kein harter Tipp · nur DNB 1 als vorsichtige Variante","probability":0.08713432177073569817604692389068077318370342254638671875,"strategy":"representative_outcome_scoreline","exact_score_reliability":"volatile","top_5":[{"home_goals":1,"away_goals":1,"probability":0.1195880022634287220828497311231330968439579010009765625},{"home_goals":1,"away_goals":0,"probability":0.0904080641564858067393828378044418059289455413818359375},{"home_goals":2,"away_goals":1,"probability":0.08713432177073569817604692389068077318370342254638671875},{"home_goals":0,"away_goals":1,"probability":0.08206462157923723188535092276651994325220584869384765625},{"home_goals":1,"away_goals":2,"probability":0.07909300137543025244202254953052033670246601104736328125}],"reason":"enger xG-Korridor · Stärkste Signale: FIFA Ranking pro Heim · Hauptempfehlung bleibt 1X2/Safe, Exact Score ist Nebeninfo · Safe: DNB 1 · Confidence 48/100 · Risiko high"},"rating_policy":"V9 Trust & Integrity: Hauptempfehlung ist 1X2/Safe; exakte Scoreline ist nur eine repräsentative Modell-Scoreline mit klarer Unsicherheitskennzeichnung.","trust_mode":"honest","primary_recommendation":"Kein harter Tipp · nur DNB 1 als vorsichtige Variante","scoreline_note":"Repräsentative Scoreline gewählt, weil mehrere Top-Ergebnisse dicht beieinander liegen. Reine Top-Scoreline wäre 1:1. Torprofil spricht nicht für reinen Minimal-Score. BTTS-Signal ist relevant. 1X2-Ausgang eng, Exact Score besonders vorsichtig lesen.","display_policy":"Exact Score ist nur Modell-Scoreline/Nebeninfo. Hauptempfehlung ist 1X2 bzw. Safe-Tipp."}