21.06.2026 05:00Kansas City Stadium · Kansas City
EcuadorvsCuraçao
KYRON Hauptempfehlung

1X · 1

Modell-Scoreline: ECU 2:1 · Hauptempfehlung: Vorsichtig: 1X

9,8 %Scoreline-Wahrscheinlichkeit
2:0Alternativ-Ergebnis
1:1Rein wahrscheinlichste Scoreline
76Reliability
volatileExact-Score-Basis

xG-Vorteil Heimteam · Stärkste Signale: FIFA Ranking pro Heim, KYRON Elo pro Heim · Hauptempfehlung bleibt 1X2/Safe, Exact Score ist Nebeninfo · Safe: 1X · Confidence 73/100 · Risiko medium

54 %Sieg ECU
23 %Remis
22 %Sieg CUW
1,79xG Heim
1,07xG Auswärts
11X2 Haupttipp
73Confidence
76Reliability
representative_outcome_scorelineTipp-Strategie
Exact Score ist volatil; als Nebeninfo lesen, nicht als sichere Ergebnisansage.

Plausible Modell-Scorelines

Der exakte Score ist keine sichere Vorhersage. KYRON nutzt ihn nur als Modell-Scoreline; Hauptempfehlung bleiben 1X2, Safe-Tipp und Risiko.

1:1
11,0 %
1:0
10,3 %
2:1
9,8 %
2:0
9,2 %
0:1
6,1 %
3:1
5,9 %
1:2
5,8 %
0:0
5,7 %

Over 2.5 54 % BTTS 55 % Hauptempfehlung: 1X Risiko medium

V9 Ensemble- und Daten-Signale

FIFA Ranking
Offizielle FIFA-Punkte als Grundstärke: Differenz 304,52 · FIFA-Rang 23 vs 82
Gewicht 30,2 % Qualität 95 %
KYRON Elo
KYRON-Elo/Turnier-Elo inklusive Gastgeberbonus: Differenz 406,0
Gewicht 22,9 % Qualität 72 %
Form
Kurzfristige Form aus Formwert/FIFA-Punktedelta: Differenz 5,84
Gewicht 17,3 % Qualität 68 %
Attack/Defense
Offensiv-/Defensiv-Matchup: Heimspur 0,128, Auswärtsspur -0,137
Gewicht 29,7 % Qualität 78 %
Market Check
Kein Markt-/Quoten-Snapshot vorhanden; Modellanteil wird für dieses Spiel nicht gewichtet.
Gewicht 0,0 % Qualität 0 %
Modell-Snapshot anzeigen
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Modellanteil wird für dieses Spiel nicht gewichtet.","debug":[],"effective_weight":0}],"calibration":{"score":73,"risk":"medium","warnings":[],"model_agreement":1,"separation":0.31141581646259763882511606425396166741847991943359375},"direct_tip":{"score":"2:1","label":"Modell-Scoreline: ECU 2:1 · Hauptempfehlung: Vorsichtig: 1X","probability":0.0982161511120012986619798311949125491082668304443359375,"strategy":"representative_outcome_scoreline","exact_score_reliability":"volatile","top_5":[{"home_goals":1,"away_goals":1,"probability":0.1096517103796299796858448871716973371803760528564453125},{"home_goals":1,"away_goals":0,"probability":0.1027763924882797164084280439055874012410640716552734375},{"home_goals":2,"away_goals":1,"probability":0.0982161511120012986619798311949125491082668304443359375},{"home_goals":2,"away_goals":0,"probability":0.09205785901950196137288884301597136072814464569091796875},{"home_goals":0,"away_goals":1,"probability":0.0612093706231024714536914643758791498839855194091796875}],"reason":"xG-Vorteil Heimteam · Stärkste Signale: FIFA Ranking pro Heim, KYRON Elo pro Heim · Hauptempfehlung bleibt 1X2/Safe, Exact Score ist Nebeninfo · Safe: 1X · Confidence 73/100 · Risiko medium"},"rating_policy":"V9 Trust & Integrity: Hauptempfehlung ist 1X2/Safe; exakte Scoreline ist nur eine repräsentative Modell-Scoreline mit klarer Unsicherheitskennzeichnung.","trust_mode":"honest","primary_recommendation":"Vorsichtig: 1X","scoreline_note":"Repräsentative Scoreline gewählt, weil mehrere Top-Ergebnisse dicht beieinander liegen. Reine Top-Scoreline wäre 1:1. Torprofil spricht nicht für reinen Minimal-Score. BTTS-Signal ist relevant.","display_policy":"Exact Score ist nur Modell-Scoreline/Nebeninfo. Hauptempfehlung ist 1X2 bzw. Safe-Tipp."}