21.06.2026 18:00Atlanta Stadium · Atlanta
SpanienvsSaudi-Arabien
KYRON Hauptempfehlung

1X · 1

Modell-Scoreline: ESP 2:0 · Hauptempfehlung: Tendenz ESP gewinnt

10,6 %Scoreline-Wahrscheinlichkeit
2:1Alternativ-Ergebnis
1:0Rein wahrscheinlichste Scoreline
94Reliability
thinExact-Score-Basis

xG-Vorteil Heimteam · Stärkste Signale: FIFA Ranking pro Heim, KYRON Elo pro Heim · Hauptempfehlung bleibt 1X2/Safe, Exact Score ist Nebeninfo · Safe: 1X · Confidence 82/100 · Risiko low

61 %Sieg ESP
21 %Remis
17 %Sieg KSA
1,97xG Heim
0,94xG Auswärts
11X2 Haupttipp
82Confidence
94Reliability
representative_outcome_scorelineTipp-Strategie
Exact Score hat nur dünne Modellbasis; 1X2/Safe-Tipp stärker gewichten.

Plausible Modell-Scorelines

Der exakte Score ist keine sichere Vorhersage. KYRON nutzt ihn nur als Modell-Scoreline; Hauptempfehlung bleiben 1X2, Safe-Tipp und Risiko.

1:0
10,7 %
2:0
10,6 %
1:1
10,1 %
2:1
9,9 %
3:0
7,0 %
3:1
6,5 %
0:0
5,5 %
0:1
5,1 %

Over 2.5 56 % BTTS 52 % Hauptempfehlung: 1X Risiko low

V9 Ensemble- und Daten-Signale

FIFA Ranking
Offizielle FIFA-Punkte als Grundstärke: Differenz 450,83 · FIFA-Rang 2 vs 61
Gewicht 30,2 % Qualität 95 %
KYRON Elo
KYRON-Elo/Turnier-Elo inklusive Gastgeberbonus: Differenz 450,8
Gewicht 22,9 % Qualität 72 %
Form
Kurzfristige Form aus Formwert/FIFA-Punktedelta: Differenz 8,52
Gewicht 17,3 % Qualität 68 %
Attack/Defense
Offensiv-/Defensiv-Matchup: Heimspur 0,293, Auswärtsspur -0,280
Gewicht 29,7 % Qualität 78 %
Market Check
Kein Markt-/Quoten-Snapshot vorhanden; Modellanteil wird für dieses Spiel nicht gewichtet.
Gewicht 0,0 % Qualität 0 %
Modell-Snapshot anzeigen
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Stadium"},"home":{"id":29,"name":"Spanien","short_name":"ESP","elo":"1874.71","kyron_elo":null,"attack_rating":"94.46","defense_rating":"92.84","form_rating":"77.82","rolling_form":null,"fifa_rank":2,"fifa_points":"1874.71","fifa_points_delta":"-1.69","source":"fifa_ranking_2026_06_11","source_date":"2026-06-11","data_quality":"1.00","is_host":0},"away":{"id":31,"name":"Saudi-Arabien","short_name":"KSA","elo":"1423.88","kyron_elo":null,"attack_rating":"64.89","defense_rating":"65.15","form_rating":"68.71","rolling_form":null,"fifa_rank":61,"fifa_points":"1423.88","fifa_points_delta":null,"source":"fifa_ranking_2026_06_11","source_date":"2026-06-11","data_quality":"0.95","is_host":0},"adjustment":null,"settings":{"base_goals":1.350000000000000088817841970012523233890533447265625,"host_factor":0.11999999999999999555910790149937383830547332763671875,"home_advantage":0.08000000000000000166533453693773481063544750213623046875,"weights":{"fifa_ranking":0.301587301587301570560128993747639469802379608154296875,"kyron_elo":0.2285714285714285642914234131239936687052249908447265625,"form":0.1726984126984127121406942251269356347620487213134765625,"attack_defense":0.2971428571428571530077533680014312267303466796875,"market":0}},"v9_mismatch_goal_bonus":{"weighted_edge":0.64189760050160360460580477592884562909603118896484375,"bonus":0.332566272361154602332788954299758188426494598388671875},"ensemble":[{"key":"fifa_ranking","label":"FIFA 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Elo","weight":0.25,"home_edge":0.81001580985275800639300314287538640201091766357421875,"home_xg_adjustment":0.2430047429558273852645555734852678142488002777099609375,"away_xg_adjustment":-0.2430047429558273852645555734852678142488002777099609375,"confidence":0.90000000000000002220446049250313080847263336181640625,"data_quality":0.7199999999999999733546474089962430298328399658203125,"explanation":"KYRON-Elo/Turnier-Elo inklusive Gastgeberbonus: Differenz 450,8","debug":{"home_elo":1874.7100000000000363797880709171295166015625,"away_elo":1423.8800000000001091393642127513885498046875,"home_host_bonus":0,"away_host_bonus":0,"elo_diff":450.829999999999927240423858165740966796875},"effective_weight":0.2285714285714285642914234131239936687052249908447265625},{"key":"form","label":"Form","weight":0.200000000000000011102230246251565404236316680908203125,"home_edge":0.250544117647058806053195212371065281331539154052734375,"home_xg_adjustment":0.055119705882352938719481727503080037422478199005126953125,"away_xg_adjustment":-0.055119705882352938719481727503080037422478199005126953125,"confidence":0.5148818181818182182496457244269549846649169921875,"data_quality":0.68000000000000004884981308350688777863979339599609375,"explanation":"Kurzfristige Form aus Formwert/FIFA-Punktedelta: Differenz 8,52","debug":{"home_form":77.81999999999999317878973670303821563720703125,"away_form":68.7099999999999937472239253111183643341064453125,"home_delta":-1.689999999999999946709294817992486059665679931640625,"away_delta":0,"form_diff":8.518499999999999516830939683131873607635498046875},"effective_weight":0.1726984126984127121406942251269356347620487213134765625},{"key":"attack_defense","label":"Attack/Defense","weight":0.299999999999999988897769753748434595763683319091796875,"home_edge":0.58895999999999981699971840498619712889194488525390625,"home_xg_adjustment":0.211031999999999886341583987814374268054962158203125,"away_xg_adjustment":-0.2012400000000000022115642650533118285238742828369140625,"confidence":0.83807999999999982509990559265133924782276153564453125,"data_quality":0.7800000000000000266453525910037569701671600341796875,"explanation":"Offensiv-/Defensiv-Matchup: Heimspur 0,293, Auswärtsspur 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repräsentative Modell-Scoreline mit klarer Unsicherheitskennzeichnung.","trust_mode":"honest","primary_recommendation":"Tendenz ESP gewinnt","scoreline_note":"Repräsentative Scoreline gewählt, weil mehrere Top-Ergebnisse dicht beieinander liegen. Reine Top-Scoreline wäre 1:0. Torprofil spricht nicht für reinen Minimal-Score. BTTS-Signal ist relevant.","display_policy":"Exact Score ist nur Modell-Scoreline/Nebeninfo. Hauptempfehlung ist 1X2 bzw. Safe-Tipp."}