24.06.2026 04:00Guadalajara Stadium · Zapopan
ColombiavsDR Kongo
KYRON Hauptempfehlung
1X · 1
Modell-Scoreline: COL 2:1 · Hauptempfehlung: Vorsichtig: 1X
9,4 %Scoreline-Wahrscheinlichkeit
2:0Alternativ-Ergebnis
1:1Rein wahrscheinlichste Scoreline
61Reliability
volatileExact-Score-Basis
xG-Vorteil Heimteam · Stärkste Signale: FIFA Ranking pro Heim, KYRON Elo pro Heim · Hauptempfehlung bleibt 1X2/Safe, Exact Score ist Nebeninfo · Safe: 1X · Confidence 60/100 · Risiko medium
48 %Sieg COL
24 %Remis
28 %Sieg COD
1,63xG Heim
1,19xG Auswärts
11X2 Haupttipp
60Confidence
61Reliability
representative_outcome_scorelineTipp-Strategie
Exact Score ist volatil; als Nebeninfo lesen, nicht als sichere Ergebnisansage.
Plausible Modell-Scorelines
Der exakte Score ist keine sichere Vorhersage. KYRON nutzt ihn nur als Modell-Scoreline; Hauptempfehlung bleiben 1X2, Safe-Tipp und Risiko.
1:1
11,6 %
11,6 %
1:0
9,8 %
9,8 %
2:1
9,4 %
9,4 %
2:0
8,0 %
8,0 %
0:1
7,1 %
7,1 %
1:2
6,9 %
6,9 %
0:0
6,0 %
6,0 %
2:2
5,6 %
5,6 %
Over 2.5 53 % BTTS 56 % Hauptempfehlung: 1X Risiko medium
V9 Ensemble- und Daten-Signale
FIFA Ranking
Offizielle FIFA-Punkte als Grundstärke: Differenz 223,92 · FIFA-Rang 13 vs 46
Offizielle FIFA-Punkte als Grundstärke: Differenz 223,92 · FIFA-Rang 13 vs 46
Gewicht 31,3 % Qualität 100 %
KYRON Elo
KYRON-Elo/Turnier-Elo inklusive Gastgeberbonus: Differenz 225,6
KYRON-Elo/Turnier-Elo inklusive Gastgeberbonus: Differenz 225,6
Gewicht 22,5 % Qualität 72 %
Form
Kurzfristige Form aus Formwert/FIFA-Punktedelta: Differenz 8,14
Kurzfristige Form aus Formwert/FIFA-Punktedelta: Differenz 8,14
Gewicht 17,0 % Qualität 68 %
Attack/Defense
Offensiv-/Defensiv-Matchup: Heimspur 0,018, Auswärtsspur -0,026
Offensiv-/Defensiv-Matchup: Heimspur 0,018, Auswärtsspur -0,026
Gewicht 29,3 % Qualität 78 %
Market Check
Kein Markt-/Quoten-Snapshot vorhanden; Modellanteil wird für dieses Spiel nicht gewichtet.
Kein Markt-/Quoten-Snapshot vorhanden; Modellanteil wird für dieses Spiel nicht gewichtet.
Gewicht 0,0 % Qualität 0 %
Modell-Snapshot anzeigen
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Modellanteil wird für dieses Spiel nicht gewichtet.","debug":[],"effective_weight":0}],"calibration":{"score":60,"risk":"medium","warnings":[],"model_agreement":0.707500000000000017763568394002504646778106689453125,"separation":0.199420429166616341998263806090108118951320648193359375},"direct_tip":{"score":"2:1","label":"Modell-Scoreline: COL 2:1 · Hauptempfehlung: Vorsichtig: 1X","probability":0.09430486245800308309217285795966745354235172271728515625,"strategy":"representative_outcome_scoreline","exact_score_reliability":"volatile","top_5":[{"home_goals":1,"away_goals":1,"probability":0.11566545737328511045394208167635952122509479522705078125},{"home_goals":1,"away_goals":0,"probability":0.09751227436797925418598964597549638710916042327880859375},{"home_goals":2,"away_goals":1,"probability":0.09430486245800308309217285795966745354235172271728515625},{"home_goals":2,"away_goals":0,"probability":0.0795041305422900246302475579796009697020053863525390625},{"home_goals":0,"away_goals":1,"probability":0.07093217507914346964259522110296529717743396759033203125}],"reason":"xG-Vorteil Heimteam · Stärkste Signale: FIFA Ranking pro Heim, KYRON Elo pro Heim · Hauptempfehlung bleibt 1X2/Safe, Exact Score ist Nebeninfo · Safe: 1X · Confidence 60/100 · Risiko medium"},"rating_policy":"V9 Trust & Integrity: Hauptempfehlung ist 1X2/Safe; exakte Scoreline ist nur eine repräsentative Modell-Scoreline mit klarer Unsicherheitskennzeichnung.","trust_mode":"honest","primary_recommendation":"Vorsichtig: 1X","scoreline_note":"Repräsentative Scoreline gewählt, weil mehrere Top-Ergebnisse dicht beieinander liegen. Reine Top-Scoreline wäre 1:1. Torprofil spricht nicht für reinen Minimal-Score. BTTS-Signal ist relevant.","display_policy":"Exact Score ist nur Modell-Scoreline/Nebeninfo. Hauptempfehlung ist 1X2 bzw. Safe-Tipp."}