28.06.2026 01:30Atlanta Stadium · Atlanta
DR KongovsUzbekistan
KYRON Hauptempfehlung

DNB 1 · 1

Modell-Scoreline: COD 2:1 · Hauptempfehlung: Kein harter Tipp · nur DNB 1 als vorsichtige Variante

8,3 %Scoreline-Wahrscheinlichkeit
2:0Alternativ-Ergebnis
1:1Rein wahrscheinlichste Scoreline
32Reliability
volatileExact-Score-Basis

enger xG-Korridor · Stärkste Signale: KYRON Elo pro Auswärts, Form pro Auswärts · Hauptempfehlung bleibt 1X2/Safe, Exact Score ist Nebeninfo · Safe: DNB 1 · Confidence 43/100 · Risiko high

37 %Sieg COD
25 %Remis
37 %Sieg UZB
1,39xG Heim
1,39xG Auswärts
11X2 Haupttipp
43Confidence
32Reliability
representative_outcome_scorelineTipp-Strategie
Exact Score ist volatil; als Nebeninfo lesen, nicht als sichere Ergebnisansage.

Plausible Modell-Scorelines

Der exakte Score ist keine sichere Vorhersage. KYRON nutzt ihn nur als Modell-Scoreline; Hauptempfehlung bleiben 1X2, Safe-Tipp und Risiko.

1:1
12,0 %
1:0
8,6 %
0:1
8,6 %
2:1
8,3 %
1:2
8,3 %
0:0
6,2 %
2:0
6,0 %
0:2
6,0 %

Over 2.5 53 % BTTS 56 % Hauptempfehlung: DNB 1 Risiko high

V9 Ensemble- und Daten-Signale

FIFA Ranking
Offizielle FIFA-Punkte als Grundstärke: Differenz 15,70 · FIFA-Rang 46 vs 50
Gewicht 31,3 % Qualität 100 %
KYRON Elo
KYRON-Elo/Turnier-Elo inklusive Gastgeberbonus: Differenz -225,6
Gewicht 22,5 % Qualität 72 %
Form
Kurzfristige Form aus Formwert/FIFA-Punktedelta: Differenz -3,99
Gewicht 17,0 % Qualität 68 %
Attack/Defense
Offensiv-/Defensiv-Matchup: Heimspur -0,026, Auswärtsspur 0,018
Gewicht 29,3 % Qualität 78 %
Market Check
Kein Markt-/Quoten-Snapshot vorhanden; Modellanteil wird für dieses Spiel nicht gewichtet.
Gewicht 0,0 % Qualität 0 %
Modell-Snapshot anzeigen
{"match":{"id":70,"kickoff_at":"2026-06-28 01:30:00","venue":"Atlanta Stadium"},"home":{"id":42,"name":"DR Kongo","short_name":"COD","elo":"1474.43","kyron_elo":null,"attack_rating":"67.38","defense_rating":"68.25","form_rating":"65.07","rolling_form":null,"fifa_rank":46,"fifa_points":"1474.43","fifa_points_delta":"-3.92","source":"fifa_ranking_2026_06_11","source_date":"2026-06-11","data_quality":"1.00","is_host":0},"away":{"id":43,"name":"Uzbekistan","short_name":"UZB","elo":"1700.00","kyron_elo":null,"attack_rating":"70.00","defense_rating":"70.00","form_rating":"70.00","rolling_form":null,"fifa_rank":50,"fifa_points":"1458.73","fifa_points_delta":"-6.61","source":"fifa_ranking_2026_06_11","source_date":"2026-06-11","data_quality":"1.00","is_host":0},"adjustment":null,"settings":{"base_goals":1.350000000000000088817841970012523233890533447265625,"host_factor":0.11999999999999999555910790149937383830547332763671875,"home_advantage":0.08000000000000000166533453693773481063544750213623046875,"weights":{"fifa_ranking":0.3125,"kyron_elo":0.22499999999999997779553950749686919152736663818359375,"form":0.1700000000000000122124532708767219446599483489990234375,"attack_defense":0.292499999999999982236431605997495353221893310546875,"market":0}},"v9_mismatch_goal_bonus":{"weighted_edge":-0.1363627051967473413629505785138462670147418975830078125,"bonus":0},"ensemble":[{"key":"fifa_ranking","label":"FIFA Ranking","weight":0.25,"home_edge":0.037363550862006635056022929575192392803728580474853515625,"home_xg_adjustment":0.01270360729308225682110400356350510264746844768524169921875,"away_xg_adjustment":-0.01270360729308225682110400356350510264746844768524169921875,"confidence":0.451400000000000078959061511341133154928684234619140625,"data_quality":1,"explanation":"Offizielle FIFA-Punkte als Grundstärke: Differenz 15,70 · FIFA-Rang 46 vs 50","debug":{"home_points":1474.430000000000063664629124104976654052734375,"away_points":1458.73000000000001818989403545856475830078125,"points_diff":15.700000000000045474735088646411895751953125},"effective_weight":0.3125},{"key":"kyron_elo","label":"KYRON Elo","weight":0.25,"home_edge":-0.51088381199229881968193467400851659476757049560546875,"home_xg_adjustment":-0.1532651435976896403534652790767722763121128082275390625,"away_xg_adjustment":0.1532651435976896403534652790767722763121128082275390625,"confidence":0.833788461538461422861701066722162067890167236328125,"data_quality":0.7199999999999999733546474089962430298328399658203125,"explanation":"KYRON-Elo/Turnier-Elo inklusive Gastgeberbonus: Differenz -225,6","debug":{"home_elo":1474.430000000000063664629124104976654052734375,"away_elo":1700,"home_host_bonus":0,"away_host_bonus":0,"elo_diff":-225.569999999999936335370875895023345947265625},"effective_weight":0.22499999999999997779553950749686919152736663818359375},{"key":"form","label":"Form","weight":0.200000000000000011102230246251565404236316680908203125,"home_edge":-0.1173088235294119652252220475929789245128631591796875,"home_xg_adjustment":-0.0258079411764706341536612654863347415812313556671142578125,"away_xg_adjustment":0.0258079411764706341536612654863347415812313556671142578125,"confidence":0.43251818181818191266785333937150426208972930908203125,"data_quality":0.68000000000000004884981308350688777863979339599609375,"explanation":"Kurzfristige Form aus Formwert/FIFA-Punktedelta: Differenz -3,99","debug":{"home_form":65.06999999999999317878973670303821563720703125,"away_form":70,"home_delta":-3.9199999999999999289457264239899814128875732421875,"away_delta":-6.61000000000000031974423109204508364200592041015625,"form_diff":-3.988500000000006817657549618161283433437347412109375},"effective_weight":0.1700000000000000122124532708767219446599483489990234375},{"key":"attack_defense","label":"Attack/Defense","weight":0.299999999999999988897769753748434595763683319091796875,"home_edge":-0.0449485714285714765825474614757695235311985015869140625,"home_xg_adjustment":-0.01886400000000003351896538106302614323794841766357421875,"away_xg_adjustment":0.012600000000000000088817841970012523233890533447265625,"confidence":0.414960000000000051034731995969195850193500518798828125,"data_quality":0.7800000000000000266453525910037569701671600341796875,"explanation":"Offensiv-/Defensiv-Matchup: Heimspur -0,026, Auswärtsspur 0,018","debug":{"home_attack":67.3799999999999954525264911353588104248046875,"away_attack":70,"home_defense":68.25,"away_defense":70,"home_lane":-0.0262000000000000461686244790371347335167229175567626953125,"away_lane":0.01750000000000000166533453693773481063544750213623046875},"effective_weight":0.292499999999999982236431605997495353221893310546875},{"key":"market","label":"Market Check","weight":0,"home_edge":0,"home_xg_adjustment":0,"away_xg_adjustment":0,"confidence":0,"data_quality":0,"explanation":"Kein Markt-/Quoten-Snapshot vorhanden; Modellanteil wird für dieses Spiel nicht gewichtet.","debug":[],"effective_weight":0}],"calibration":{"score":43,"risk":"high","warnings":[],"model_agreement":0.604999999999999982236431605997495353221893310546875,"separation":0.000451640415042697807024296707822941243648529052734375},"direct_tip":{"score":"2:1","label":"Modell-Scoreline: COD 2:1 · Hauptempfehlung: Kein harter Tipp · nur DNB 1 als vorsichtige Variante","probability":0.08332606581434527648344356975940172560513019561767578125,"strategy":"representative_outcome_scoreline","exact_score_reliability":"volatile","top_5":[{"home_goals":1,"away_goals":1,"probability":0.11992984473211958096339202484159613959491252899169921875},{"home_goals":1,"away_goals":0,"probability":0.0863682220253500776419031126351910643279552459716796875},{"home_goals":0,"away_goals":1,"probability":0.0863065327572091478547378073926665820181369781494140625},{"home_goals":2,"away_goals":1,"probability":0.08332606581434527648344356975940172560513019561767578125},{"home_goals":1,"away_goals":2,"probability":0.08326654943324342250665637266138219274580478668212890625}],"reason":"enger xG-Korridor · Stärkste Signale: KYRON Elo pro Auswärts, Form pro Auswärts · Hauptempfehlung bleibt 1X2/Safe, Exact Score ist Nebeninfo · Safe: DNB 1 · Confidence 43/100 · Risiko high"},"rating_policy":"V9 Trust & Integrity: Hauptempfehlung ist 1X2/Safe; exakte Scoreline ist nur eine repräsentative Modell-Scoreline mit klarer Unsicherheitskennzeichnung.","trust_mode":"honest","primary_recommendation":"Kein harter Tipp · nur DNB 1 als vorsichtige Variante","scoreline_note":"Repräsentative Scoreline gewählt, weil mehrere Top-Ergebnisse dicht beieinander liegen. Reine Top-Scoreline wäre 1:1. Torprofil spricht nicht für reinen Minimal-Score. BTTS-Signal ist relevant. 1X2-Ausgang eng, Exact Score besonders vorsichtig lesen.","display_policy":"Exact Score ist nur Modell-Scoreline/Nebeninfo. Hauptempfehlung ist 1X2 bzw. Safe-Tipp."}